Week 11 Top 25 predictions
Week 10 provided some great games, and if you haven’t got around to it, you can read the week 10 recap superlatives article. But nevertheless, here are your week 11 top 25 predictions.
Friday, November 12
9:00– #4 Boise State vs. Idaho
Boise State has been snubbed in the polls. There is no other way to put it for the Broncos. Idaho hasn’t been a good team for some time. Boise will likely get a blowout, but don’t look for them to call off the dogs, because they need some respect from the polls. Which are decided by computers? Yeah, the BCS needs to go. But the outlook isn’t good for Boise State
Prediction: Boise State: 63 Idaho: 7
Saturday, November 13
Indiana @ #7 Wisconsin
Wisconsin has an easy matchup in this week 11 battle of Big 10 members, and is starting to get on a roll. However, a little too late to be in National Championship consideration, but definitely a contender for the Big 10 Championship and a spot in the Rose Bowl
Prediction: Wisconsin: 31 Indiana: 13
#13 Iowa @ Northwestern
Iowa has had a decent season. Although some experts picked Iowa as a dark horse contender for the National Championship, but that plan sort of fell through. Northwestern has been a hit or miss team, and their QB, Persa, has been a key player for the Wildcats. I think Northwestern will come out hungry and will limit Stanzi and the Hawkeye’s passing attack, thus their offense. This game could turn some heads.
Prediction: Northwestern: 17 Iowa: 16
#24 Kansas State @ #17 Missouri
Kansas State has had their ups and downs this year, but throughout, on think has been constant: The rushing attack in the Wildcat backfield. The man who leads this attack, Daniel Thomas, is 5th in the nation in rushing yards with 1100+. He has been the main reason KSU has been so strong. But as much as I like Thomas, I like the arm of Blaine Gabbert. He has 2193 passing yards on the year and runs the spread offense seamlessly.
Prediction: Missouri: 27 Kansas State: 14
#14 Utah @ Notre Dame
Utah looked miserable against TCU, but looks to rebound against a Notre Dame team that has had an awful year under new coach Brian Kelly. I really liked Dayne Crist for the Irish at QB, but he is now out for the year. The outlook isn’t bright, especially after the loss to Navy. Look for Utah to get a win after a crushing loss to the Horned Frogs of TCU.
Prediction: Utah: 34 Notre Dame: 21
Georgia @ #2 Auburn
I know this may sound crazy, but I’d like to think of this as a trap game for Auburn. Coming off a no-contest game, you can bet the Tigers may be looking ahead to playing Alabama. I like Aaron Murray, the signal caller for the bulldogs. He has tons of arm strength (threw a ball about 70 yards in the air against Arkansas), but his poise has been shaky at times. He will be the X-Factor to this game. If Murray can keep it together, then I think the Bulldogs may be able to hold their own against Auburn and Heisman favorite Cam Newton. Although I see this being close, I think Auburn will pull it out.
Prediction: Auburn: 31 Georgia: 27
Penn State @ #9 Ohio State
Penn State is coming off a game that was a rollercoaster and the final result was Joe Paterno getting win #400. It’s a great achievement, but I don’t think that the momentum will carry over into this game. Tyrelle Pryor came into this season as the Heisman favorite in many people’s opinions, but has since dropped. I think he still has that potential, because he has all of the tools (great arm and good mobility), but they just aren’t coming together as many expected. Look for Pryor to break out of his funk and have a monster game against the Nittany Lions.
Prediction: Ohio State: 42 Penn State: 13
Texas Tech @ #16 Oklahoma
This will be a high scoring matchup that will be a lot of fun to watch, so if you’re team isn’t playing in this time slot, definitely put this game on the TV. Two quarterbacks in Landry Jones of Oklahoma and Taylor Potts in Texas Tech should put up some big numbers. However, I think that Oklahoma will win this one, mainly because 1) They won’t lose two games in a row to unranked opponents, and 2) Their defense is better than that of the Red Raiders.
Prediction: Oklahoma: 49 Texas Tech: 35
#20 Virginia Tech @ North Carolina
Tyrod Taylor. How he plays will decide the outcome of this game. VT has put together a nice little 7-game winning streak after having a rough start to the year. Although they play in the ACC, and any team has a chance of winning there, but in my opinion, Tyrod Taylor has been too good to let this Hokie team lose.
Prediction: Virginia Tech: 27 North Carolina: 13
San Diego State @ #3 TCU
TCU showed that they are a legit contender last week as they trounced Utah, which caused them to leap frog Boise State in the polls (poor Boise). Andy Dalton showed that he can make played against good teams, and TCU in fact, has one of the highest margins of victory in a top 5 matchup. I know you may be saying, “But they were both non-AQ schools”. I know this isn’t a perfect example, but take last year’s Cincinnati Bearcats as an example. Many people treated them as a non-AQ team, and look what they did to Florida in their BCS bowl. I just believe that these non-AQ schools deserve a shot at the title, but the computers won’t give it to them. Anyways, back on subject, look for TCU to play in a manner similar to Boise, as they will try to win in the most impressive fashion possible to ‘impress’ the computers.
Prediction: TCU: 52 San Diego State: 3
Louisiana Monroe @ #5 LSU
LSU deserves a cupcake after their hard fought win against Alabama. What I was shocked about however was that LSU jumped from 10 to 5. I know it was a good win, but I’m tired of the SEC bias in the BCS. This will really just be a tune up game in preparation for LSU’s next game against Mississippi. They have a good chance at making a BCS bowl, and a very slim outside shot at the National Championship. But what has gotten the Tigers here is their defense. The Warhawks shouldn’t give much trouble to LSU.
Prediction: LSU: 42 Louisiana Monroe: 3
Kansas @ #8 Nebraska
Nebraska has been somewhat shaky at the quarterback position as of late, and its good to see that sophomore QB Taylor Martinez will start for the Huskers. He showed Heisman potential as he led his team in passing yards, rushing yards, passing TDs, and rushing TDs earlier in the season before he was plagued by injuries. Kansas isn’t too much of a threat, if you recall they lost to a D-II team (FCS for those who like to get technical) earlier this year. Look for Taylor Martinez and Roy Helu Jr., the Huskers talented RB, to run wild over the Jayhawks defense. The only question mark in this game will be the health of Martinez, and aside from that, it’s full speed ahead for Nebraska.
Prediction: Nebraska: 52 Kansas: 17
UTEP @ #15 Arkansas
This one should really be a walkover for the Razorbacks. Late in the season this game shouldn’t have much leverage as they are out of the National Title talk, although they were never really in the thick of it. The only point this game serves is to show off the arm of NFL QB prospect Ryan Mallett.
Prediction: Arkansas: 45 UTEP: 6
#25 Texas A&M @ Baylor
Last week I picked Baylor to upset Oklahoma State. Whoops. The biggest upset in fact involved this Aggie team over the Oklahoma Sooners. Although my Baylor upset pick was a swing and a miss last week, I think I’m going to go for it again. I just really think that their dual threat QB Robert Griffin can single-handedly change a game, and that may just be what happens in this game. Look for Griffin to hands down be the X-Factor.
Prediction: Baylor: 28 Texas A&M: 21
#19 Mississippi State @ #12 Alabama
This is another ranked SEC match up that we see so often due to the amount of SEC teams in the polls. I personally think that the Bulldogs are overrated, as they climbed into the polls after an “upset” win over the also overrated Florida Gators. Mississippi State’s only two losses have come to good teams in Auburn and LSU, which shows that like many other programs that are on the cusp, they aren’t yet ready to be a big time program. I think Alabama will walk away with this one in convincing fashion.
Prediction: Alabama: 35 Mississippi State: 13
#23 South Carolina @ #22 Florida
This game will mainly be a match up of the South Carolina defense that has been solid all year, and a hit or miss Florida offense that has a lot of fans wondering what the season may have been if the Gators introduced some much needed consistency. In this matchup, I like South Carolina to come out on top. I think the Gamecocks defensive line will harass Florida QB John Brantley and cause him to make mistakes. His inexperience will cost the Gators in this one.
Prediction: South Carolina: 21 Florida: 17
#1 Oregon @ California
You really can’t say enough about this high-powered offense of Oregon. They have killed everyone they have played, and their closest game came against Arizona State, in an 11-point win. The Ducks have played only two opponents in the top 25, but they have won those games by a combined 42 points. Wow. This California Golden Bear team has really been hit and miss. One week they blow out UCLA, and the next get blown out by USC, then blow out Arizona State, and then get blown out by Oregon State. There is no question that the talent is there; it just needs to come together. Playing against Oregon is neither the place nor time to count on that happening.
Prediction: Oregon: 49 California: 17
#6 Stanford @ Arizona State
Like LSU, I was kind of surprised when I saw that Stanford was all the way up at #6. But why not? They are 8-1, with their only loss to the number one team in the country. This game will be all about Andrew Luck. I think he is going to pick apart this Sun Devils defense and open up the Cardinal running game. ASU might hang with the Cardinal for a while, but not for too long.
Prediction: Stanford: 38 Arizona State: 13
#20 Oklahoma State @ Texas
Oklahoma State has one of the better passing attacks in the nation, and WR Justin Blackmon leads it. He leads the NCAA in many major receiving categories, and has been a key piece to the offense. For Texas, Garrett Gilbert has had a bad year and Texas has along with him. However, I think this is the break out game for Gilbert, and the turning point for this Longhorn team. Their offense is going to need to put up or shut up.
Prediction: Texas: 38 Oklahoma State: 31
USC @ #18 Arizona
USC had shown flashes of greatness this year, but I think a lack of motivation may be to blame to the NCAA sanctions not allowing the Trojans to go bowling this year. Meanwhile, the Arizona wildcats led by QB Nick Foles have shown signs of life offensively, and they have a very balanced attack. What I am looking for in this game is whether or nor the USC defense can make the plays that they need to. We know that USC QB Matt Barkley can make all the throws he needs to in this offense; the defense is the question mark. I think they will get some pressure up front and rattle Foles, which will be key to slowing down this Wildcat offense.
Prediction: USC: 28 Arizona: 24
#21 Nevada @ Fresno State
The pistol offense has been a staple of Nevada for some time now, and it has worked to perfection for the Wolfpack as Nevada ranks 2nd in the nation in rushing yards. Look for the Nevada offense to find some holes and run all over the Fresno State bulldogs.
Prediction: Nevada: 42 Fresno State: 27
So those were your week 11 top 25 college football picks. To recap, my upset picks were USC over (18) Arizona, Texas over (20) Oklahoma State, Northwestern over (13) Iowa, and Baylor over (25) Texas A&M. Come back next week for more predictions.
Written By: Jackson Fust
Follow JG Sports Network: